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QB · #15 Kansas City Chiefs Tier 1 Elite QB · HOF Trajectory

Patrick Mahomes Profile & Calculator

Custom projection engine & dual-threat estimator. Model Mahomes' passing yardage, touchdown efficiency, and turnover multipliers across 4-point vs. 6-point passing TD formats.

Draft Pick2017, Rd 1 (10th)
CollegeTexas Tech
Career Pass TDs267 (thru 2025)
Fantasy RoleEvery-Week QB1 Starter

Patrick Mahomes Weekly Fantasy Point Estimator

Adjust passing, rushing, and turnover variables to model custom weekly outputs for Patrick Mahomes.

Projected Per-Game Average 0.0 PPG
17-Game Total 0 pts
Positional Tier Tier 1 Overall

Worked Example: Evaluating Patrick Mahomes' Passing Ceiling

Mahomes' elite arm talent and rushing ability make him a perennial top-2 fantasy quarterback. His 2018 season (50 TDs, 5,097 yards) set a fantasy benchmark that few have approached.

// SAMPLE WEEKLY PERFORMANCE CALCULATION (4-pt Pass TD League):

• Passing: 325 yards (325 x 0.04 = 13.0 pts) + 3 Pass TDs (3 x 4.0 = 12.0 pts) = 25.0 pts

• Rushing: 25 yards (25 x 0.10 = 2.5 pts) + 0 Rush TDs = 2.5 pts

• Turnovers: 0 Interceptions = 0.0 pts

• 300+ Yard Bonus: +3 pts

Total Weekly Score: 30.5 Fantasy Points

Mahomes' 300-yard bonus and consistent multi-TD games provide a weekly ceiling that few quarterbacks can match. His rushing floor adds an additional 2-5 points per game.

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Patrick Mahomes Career Statistics (2017-2025)

Season Games Comp % Pass Yds Pass TDs INTs Rush Yds Rush TDs
2017157.1%28401100
20181665.6%5,09750122722
20191465.9%4,0312652182
20201566.3%4,7403863082
20211766.6%4,83937133812
20221767.1%5,25041123584
20231667.5%4,18327143890
20241667.5%3,92826112142
20251462.7%3,58722114225
Career 126 66.2% 35,939 267 85 2,572 19

🏥 2025 Season Note: Mahomes' 2025 season was cut short due to a Week 15 ACL/LCL tear, finishing with 3,587 passing yards, 22 TDs, 11 INTs, 422 rushing yards, and 5 rushing TDs across 14 games.

* Data compiled from official NFL game logs. Updated through 2025 season.

Patrick Mahomes vs. NFL QB Average

Metric Mahomes NFL QB Avg Advantage
Passing Yards/Game285.2225.4+26.5%
Passing TDs/Game2.121.52+39.5%
TD/INT Ratio3.141.85+69.7%
Completion %66.2%63.7%+3.9%

* NFL QB averages based on 2024-2025 starting quarterbacks (min. 10 starts).

Patrick Mahomes Fantasy Football Profile & Analytical Breakdown

Patrick Mahomes has redefined the quarterback position since taking over as the Kansas City Chiefs' starter in 2018. The 10th overall pick out of Texas Tech has shattered records, winning two NFL MVP awards (2018, 2022) and three Super Bowl championships (LIV, LVII, LVIII) while establishing himself as the gold standard for fantasy quarterback production.

The 2018 Breakout & Record-Breaking Season

Mahomes' 2018 campaign remains one of the greatest single seasons in NFL history. Throwing for 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns with just 12 interceptions, he became only the second quarterback in NFL history to throw for 50+ touchdowns in a season, joining Peyton Manning. This performance set a fantasy benchmark that still influences quarterback valuations today.

Consistent Elite Production

What separates Mahomes from other elite quarterbacks is his incredible consistency. Since becoming the full-time starter in 2018, Mahomes has averaged 285.2 passing yards and 2.12 passing touchdowns per game—both among the highest in NFL history for any player's first eight seasons. His 35,939 career passing yards and 267 touchdowns through 126 games place him on a Hall of Fame trajectory.

Rushing Floor & Dual-Threat Value

While Mahomes is primarily known for his arm, his rushing ability adds a valuable fantasy floor. He's averaged 20.4 rushing yards per game across his career with 19 rushing touchdowns, including a career-high 5 rushing TDs in 2025. His mobility extends plays, creating additional passing opportunities, and provides a weekly baseline of 2-5 rushing points that many pocket passers lack.

🏥 2025 Injury Context: Mahomes' 2025 season was cut short by a Week 15 ACL/LCL tear. Prior to the injury, he was on pace for over 4,300 passing yards and 28 touchdowns. The injury raises some concern for 2026, but Mahomes' elite talent and age (30) suggest a full recovery and return to QB1 form.

Fantasy Format Value

In 4-point passing TD leagues, Mahomes' rushing upside and efficiency give him a slight edge over pure pocket passers. In 6-point passing TD leagues, his elite touchdown volume makes him a top-2 pick at the position. His consistent 300-yard games (averaging nearly 8 per season) provide additional bonus points in many league formats.

Dynasty & Redraft Outlook

In dynasty startups, Mahomes is the consensus QB1 overall, often going in the first round of Superflex drafts. At 30 years old (entering the 2026 season), he has a decade of elite production ahead of him. In redraft leagues, Mahomes is a reliable first-round pick in Superflex formats and a top-3 QB off the board in standard leagues.

Data Sources & Methodology

Metrics on this page are updated after each NFL season using official play-by-play data from the NFL's game logs, cross-verified with Pro-Football-Reference metrics. All calculations are performed client-side for maximum privacy and speed.

Editorial Note: This analysis was reviewed and updated following the conclusion of the 2025 NFL season. Career statistics are current through Week 18 of the 2025 season.

Last Updated: August 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

How does 6-point passing TD scoring change Patrick Mahomes' value?

In 6-point passing TD formats, Mahomes' elite touchdown volume (267 career TDs, 2.12 per game) makes him even more valuable. He maintains a top-2 overall QB ranking across both scoring models, with his rushing ability providing a competitive edge over pure pocket passers.

Is this calculator free to use?

Yes. This estimator is a 100% free client-side utility built for fantasy analysis. All calculations run instantly in your browser without requiring account creation or personal data.

How many Super Bowls has Patrick Mahomes won?

Mahomes has won 3 Super Bowls (LIV, LVII, LVIII) and has been named Super Bowl MVP in all three victories.

What is Mahomes' career TD/INT ratio?

Mahomes has a career TD/INT ratio of 3.14 (267 TDs, 85 INTs), one of the highest in NFL history for any quarterback with 100+ starts.

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